A regional election was held in the Community of Madrid on 28 May 2023 to elect the 13th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 135 seats in the Assembly were up for election. Because regional elections in Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the 2021 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in 2019. It was held concurrently with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.
Overview Under the 1983 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Madrid was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions..
Date The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (BOCM).; . The previous ordinary election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 28 May 2023.
The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election had been called and that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or during the last year of parliament before its planned expiration, nor before one year after a previous one.; . In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called, which was to be held on the first Sunday 54 days after the call.; . Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances did not alter the date of the chamber's next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term.; .
The election to the Assembly of Madrid was officially called on 4 April 2023 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOCM, setting election day for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 13 June..
Electoral system Voting for the Assembly was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence.; ( by ). Amendments in 2022 abolished the "begged" voting system (), under which non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting. The begged vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it was in force.
The Assembly of Madrid had one seat per 50,000 inhabitants or fraction above 25,000. All were elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the autonomous community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) regionally.; . As a result of the aforementioned allocation, the Assembly was entitled to 135 seats, based on the official population figures resulting from the latest revision of the municipal register (as of 1 January 2022)..
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes. ( by ).
Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call.
+ Parliamentary composition in April 2023 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total People's Parliamentary Groupof the Assembly of Madrid PP 65 65 More Madrid Parliamentary Group MM 22 24 VQ 2 Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 24 24 Vox Parliamentary Group in Madrid Vox 13 13 United We Can Parliamentary Group Podemos 8 10 IU–M 2
Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. ( by ). Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition..
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Vote % Seats PP Isabel Díaz Ayuso ConservatismChristian democracy 44.8% MM–VQ Mónica García ProgressivismParticipatory democracyGreen politics 17.0% PSOE Juan Lobato Social democracy 16.8% Vox Rocío Monasterio Right-wing populismUltranationalismNational conservatism 9.1% Podemos–IU–AV Alejandra Jacinto Left-wing populismDirect democracyDemocratic socialism 7.2%
Campaign Party slogans Party or alliance Original slogan English translation PP « Ganas » "You win" / "Feeling like it" MM–VQ « Lo próximo » "What comes next" PSOE « Madrid da para todos » "Madrid has for everyone" Vox « Vota seguro » "Vote safely" Podemos–IU « La llave para Madrid » "The key to Madrid"
Debates + 2023 Madrilenian regional election debates Date Organizer(s) Moderator(s) PP MM–VQ PSOE Vox UP Audience 9 May Cuatro(Todo es Mentira) Risto Mejide S 4.4% 16 May Telemadrid Víctor Arribas 9.7% 24 May RTVE Xabier Fortes S 8.7%
Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (69 in the 2021 election).
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 regional election 28 May 2023 65.5 47.3 18.4 18.2 7.3 4.8 1.6 28.9 GAD3/RTVE–FORTA 12–27 May 2023?? 49.5 14.3 20.2 7.1 5.2 1.9 29.3 NC Report/La Razón 22 May 2023?? 48.3 18.4 17.3 8.7 4.9 – 29.9 Data10/Okdiario 19–22 May 2023 1,500? 48.5 17.9 17.7 8.4 5.2 1.0 30.6 Target Point/El Debate 15–19 May 2023 800? 48.0 19.2 16.7 8.1 5.3 1.3 28.8 KeyData/Público 18 May 2023? 67.0 47.2 18.8 17.2 8.6 5.0 1.6 28.4 DYM/Henneo 15–18 May 2023?? 47.6 17.9 18.1 9.0 5.2 – 29.5 Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero 12–18 May 2023?? 47.9 18.9 17.0 8.5 4.7 – 29.0 40dB/Prisa 12–17 May 2023 1,200? 46.8 18.8 17.6 8.4 4.9 2.1 28.0 EM-Analytics/El Plural 11–17 May 2023 600? 46.1 19.7 18.5 8.8 5.0 1.5 26.4 Sigma Dos/Antena 3 14 May 2023??? 17.9 17.6? 6.0?? SocioMétrica/El Español 8–14 May 2023?? 46.6 19.2 17.1 9.0 4.8 1.8 27.4 Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli 8–12 May 2023 1,000? 47.8 18.8 17.2 9.5 4.8 1.0 29.0 Simple Lógica/elDiario.es 8–12 May 2023 903? 46.7 19.8 16.6 8.5 6.2 1.2 26.9 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 8–11 May 2023 1,068? 47.1 18.3 17.5 7.5 6.2 2.5 28.8 EM-Analytics/El Plural 4–10 May 2023 600? 46.3 20.4 17.1 9.2 5.0 1.5 25.9 GAD3/Community of Madrid 3–4 May 2023 1,012? 47.5 16.3 19.4 8.3 5.5 1.3 28.1 40dB/Prisa 28 Apr–3 May 2023 1,200? 46.6 17.7 18.3 9.2 4.4 2.2 28.3 EM-Analytics/El Plural 26 Apr–3 May 2023 600? 46.3 20.5 17.0 9.2 5.0 1.5 25.8 NC Report/La Razón 2 May 2023? 69.1 48.1 18.3 17.0 8.9 5.0 1.5 29.8 SocioMétrica/El Español 27–30 Apr 2023 1,000? 45.8 20.6 16.4 8.8 4.9 1.8 25.2 KeyData/Público 28 Apr 2023? 66.3 46.7 18.9 17.3 8.9 5.0 1.5 27.8 Data10/Okdiario 26–28 Apr 2023 1,500? 47.2 18.9 17.0 7.9 4.7 1.7 28.3 CIS 10–26 Apr 2023 3,057? 45.2 21.4 17.3 6.3 6.6 0.7 23.8 EM-Analytics/El Plural 19–25 Apr 2023 600? 45.4 20.3 16.6 9.6 5.1 2.0 25.1 SocioMétrica/El Español 17–21 Apr 2023 1,200? 46.0 19.2 17.1 8.8 5.1 1.9 26.8 EM-Analytics/El Plural 12–18 Apr 2023 600? 45.7 21.0 16.4 9.8 5.0 2.0 24.7 GAD3/ABC 11–12 Apr 2023 1,000? 48.5 16.8 18.3 8.5 5.1 1.0 30.2 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 7–12 Apr 2023 1,140? 48.2 19.1 17.1 7.8 5.1 1.5 29.1 EM-Analytics/El Plural 5–11 Apr 2023 600? 45.8 21.4 15.8 10.0 5.0 1.9 24.4 EM-Analytics/El Plural 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 600? 45.9 21.3 15.8 10.1 5.0 1.8 24.6 IMOP/El Confidencial 21–24 Mar 2023 1,213? 46.4 19.0 17.3 9.0 4.7 1.5 27.4 KeyData/Público 15 Mar 2023? 66.5 46.4 18.6 16.7 9.4 5.4 1.9 27.8 SocioMétrica/El Español 27 Feb–3 Mar 2023 1,200? 46.3 19.1 16.0 9.2 6.0 2.1 27.2 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 15 Jan–26 Feb 2023 2,348? 45.2 21.6 15.7 10.4 5.0 1.9 23.6 Data10/Okdiario 8–16 Feb 2023 1,500? 46.8 18.3 17.1 8.3 5.3 1.8 28.5 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 30 Nov–12 Jan 2023 1,601? 45.0 21.5 15.9 10.5 5.1 2.0 23.5 GAD3/Community of Madrid 12–14 Dec 2022 1,003? 46.5 17.2 18.3 9.3 5.2 1.7 28.2 CIS 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 1,573? 39.9 15.0 22.6 5.5 8.0 3.1 17.3 Data10/Okdiario 15 Nov 2022 1,000? 45.6 19.1 15.8 9.4 5.7 1.7 26.5 Data10/Okdiario 31 Oct–3 Nov 2022 1,000? 47.1 18.6 15.7 9.2 5.2 1.7 28.5 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 25 Oct–3 Nov 2022 996? 47.4 17.9 16.4 8.8 5.3 2.4 29.5 Data10/Okdiario 7–8 Sep 2022 1,000? 46.9 20.9 14.6 9.8 3.8 1.3 26.0 Hamalgama Métrica/Vozpópuli 2–8 Sep 2022 1,000? 46.6 18.0 15.9 9.7 6.2 1.9 28.6 SocioMétrica/El Español 26–29 Apr 2022 1,200? 46.1 20.1 14.9 10.0 5.4 2.1 26.0 NC Report/La Razón 25–29 Apr 2022 1,000? 45.5 18.2 15.5 10.1 6.2 – 27.3 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 25–28 Apr 2022 1,600? 44.8 16.6 17.7 10.6 5.7 2.6 27.1 Data10/Okdiario 19–21 Apr 2022 2,000? 44.7 19.4 15.7 10.4 5.6 2.3 25.3 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 17–18 Feb 2022 1,208? 44.0 20.5 17.0 10.5 5.2 2.5 23.5 IMOP/El Confidencial 10–11 Nov 2021 710? 47.3 17.9 16.1 9.3 5.7 2.3 29.4 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 3–6 Nov 2021 1,224? 46.2 18.1 16.3 9.3 6.4 2.9 28.1 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 13 Jul–21 Aug 2021 1,239? 45.8 19.8 16.6 9.0 4.8 2.2 26.0 2021 regional election 4 May 2021 71.7 44.8 17.0 16.8 9.1 7.2 3.6 27.8
Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Lead 2023 regional election 28 May 2023 32.8 12.7 12.6 5.1 3.3 1.1 30.1 20.1 40dB/Prisa 12–17 May 2023 1,200 34.2 13.3 16.1 9.4 3.6 1.9 12.6 4.4 18.1 40dB/Prisa 26 Apr–3 May 2023 1,200 34.5 13.0 15.5 9.3 4.1 2.6 12.2 4.5 19.0 CIS 10–26 Apr 2023 3,057 35.3 16.1 12.8 4.6 5.0 0.7 20.4 2.3 19.2 PSOE 15–17 Apr 2023 2,000 29.5 12.9 15.3 9.8 5.0 2.5 – – 14.2 PSOE Feb 2023? 31.8 16.5 11.8 8.5 4.2 2.3 – – 15.3 CIS 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 1,573 31.1 10.9 15.3 3.9 5.7 1.7 24.8 2.2 15.8 2021 regional election 4 May 2021 33.9 12.9 12.8 6.9 5.5 2.7 23.7 21.0
Preferred President